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Paul Joss, in the above cited reference, calculates "no," by a factor of 40,000. H Delsemme ("Origin of Short-Period Comets," Astronomy and Astrophysics, 7-381, December, 1973) calculates that the answer is "yes." Edger Everhart (University of Denver), who has reviewed both calulations and has contributed his own theories ("Evaluation of Long- and Short-periord Orbits," Comets, edited by Laurel L.
Wilkening, University of Arizona Press, 1982), the answer is unknown.
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About 1950, Jan Ort of the Netherlands postulated a cloud of comets orbiting the sun far outside the planets.
Note that, although observed comet orbits are consistent with such a cloud, there is no direct evidence of its existence: the presence of the comet source is derived from the need for such a source in an old universe.
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I've discussed some of this in the newsgroup, but here I'll leave it for the rebuttal phase of the debate.
The arguments I use are of the same basic type as those of the old-earth proponents: extrapolation of present-day trends into the past to determine how long something could have been going on.
Comets are supposedly diverted from the reservoir by the influence of passing stars.
The question is whether or not enough comets will be supplied by this mechanism to agree with observations.
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